Talking Turkey

Talking Turkey
Vol: 62 Issue: 29 Wednesday, November 29, 2006

Another piece of the Gog-Magog prophecy seems to be coming together as Brussels has again dashed Turkish hopes of joining the European Union.

Brussels says it will recommending a partial suspension of negotiations between the EU and Turkey about joining Europe after Ankara refused to open its ports to EU member Cyprus.

The recommendation to EU governments came after talks on the Cyprus issue failed on Monday. EU foreign ministers will take a decision on the recommendations on December 11.

Turkey invaded Cyprus in 1974 in response to a Greek Cypriot coup backed by Greece’s then ruling military junta and does not recognize EU member Cyprus. Ankara backs a Turkish Cypriot mini-state in the north, which it alone recognizes.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel welcomed the decision saying this showed Turkey it had to honor its agreement with the EU to open sea and air ports to Cyprus, called the Ankara protocol.

“The Commission proposal is a strong signal that the Ankara protocol has to be accepted by Turkey,” she told reporters in Riga where she was attending a NATO summit.

Britain’s Tony Blair represented a lone voice of reason, warning that the EU should not send a negative signal to Turkey at this time as this could be “a serious mistake for Europe long-term.”

Turkey has waited a long time to be admitted to the EU, having first applied on April 14, 1987 when the European Union was still being proposed. Turkey had been an Associate member of the EEC since 1964.

Interestingly, one of the major reasons that Turkey is having such a hard time gaining membership is its relationship with both the United States and, strangely, Israel.

Although Turkey is officially an Islamic state, it is the only Islamic state to enter into mutual defense agreements with the Jewish State, going so far as to conduct joint wargames.

And Turkey has traditionally maintained exceptionally close ties with the United States and Washington has returned the favor by strongly backing Turkey’s bid for EU membership.

Some EU states, notably France, oppose Turkish membership on the grounds it will increase European political dependence on the United States to admit such a close American ally. And to be accepted for membership, Turkey needs to be accepted by unanimous agreement.

As long as Turkey enjoys warm relations with the US and Israel, it will remain on the EU’s doorstep, hat in hand, waiting for an invitation that will not come.

Assessment:

Ankara finds itself between a rock and a hard place in its bid to join the EU. Those who oppose Turkish membership do so, in part, out of a desire to embarrass Washington and Jerusalem.

Those who favor Turkish ascension do so BECAUSE of Ankara’s close ties with both the US and Israel.

If the Turks were to distance themselves from Washington to appease France, for example, they would alienate themselves from other EU member states, like the UK. Since it takes unanimous agreement by all members, Turkey’s bid for membership is all but doomed.

Hedging its bets, Ankara is focusing its attention on developing closer ties with the Russians, just in case.

Russia s investment in Turkey is worth $350 million while Turkey s investment in Russia totals $1.5 billion. The two countries have developed a joint strategy of “multidimensional cooperation’ in the areas of the military and energy.

Russia agreed to invest in Turkey’s fuel and energy industries. In return, Turkey has agreed to accept tenders from Russia for the purchase of major weapons systems.

And Russia also opposes Turkish inclusion in the EU. During a 2004 visit to Ankara, Russian president Putin warned Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan, “If you enter the EU, we cannot meet frequently.”

As a consequence, the Turks face a choice between extremes. If it distances itself from the US and Israel, it will placate part of the EU and alienate the other part, ending hopes for a unanimous agreement.

If it continues to maintain its relationships with the US and Israel, it will simply reverse the equation without getting a single step closer to EU membership.

Or, it can turn its attention to the East and to the welcoming arms of Vladimir Putin.

As noted earlier, this all lends itself to Ezekiel’s prophecy of the Gog-Magog War. According to the Torah, modern Turkey is descended through Gomer, Japeth and Togarmah.

Of all the various main players in the Gog Magog scenario; , Magog, Meschech, Tubal, Persia, Libya, Ethiopia, the only combatants not presently a client state of the Russians are, “Gomer and all his bands” and “the house of Togarmah of the north quarters and all his bands.”

Gomer is traditionally believed to include the area of the former East Germany and Togarmah is Turkey. Former East Germany is home to the one of the largest Turkish populations outside of Turkey, and the Turks make up Germany’s largest group of non-ethnic Germans.

Togarmah, or modern Turkey, is slowly being driven away from the West and into the waiting arms of the Russian bear.

Exactly as Ezekiel prophesied more than 2500 years ago.

This entry was posted in Briefings by Pete Garcia. Bookmark the permalink.

About Pete Garcia

Christian, father, husband, veteran, pilot, and sinner saved by grace. I am a firm believer in, and follower of Jesus Christ. I am Pre-Trib, Dispensational, and Non-Denominational (but I lean Southern Baptist).

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